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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | scrapbook | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6492–5997, n=12489) | 47% (14055–15545, n=29600) | 53% (156–140, n=296) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.3M | $14.8M | -$9.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #999 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (27 of 34 open) | 72% (167 of 231 open) | 58% (18 of 31 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | Economy −8 pts, n=32 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 47% of 331 at avg 41¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 38% (won 13% of 127) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 18% (won 48% of 61) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 27% (won 66% of 89) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 16% (won 91% of 54) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | scrapbook |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $90K | — | — | Yes $105 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | Over $2.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $754 | Yes $375 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | No $529 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $831 | Yes $61 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $14 | Under $181 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | Over $28 | — |
| Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li same side · consensus Anna Blinkova | — | Anna Blinkova $7.2K | Anna Blinkova $47K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Tommy Paul | — | Tommy Paul $11K | Tommy Paul $28K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva same side · consensus Mai Hontama | — | Mai Hontama $1.1K | Mai Hontama $14K | — |
| Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Magda Linette | — | Magda Linette $3.6K | Magda Linette $8.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $102 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Under $20 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $116 | Yes $161 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $174 | Under $42 | — |
| M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos same side · consensus Melios Efstathiou | — | Melios Efstathiou $103 | Melios Efstathiou $31 | — |