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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1Sausesantana
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$14.8M$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #618
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)69% (209 of 305 open)50% (15 of 30 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 1 at avg 80¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)100% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1Sausesantana
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Sofya Lansere
—Noma Noha Akugue $589Sofya Lansere $24K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $391Magda Linette $4.6K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $4.4KRobin Montgomery $256—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $524—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $1.7KJerome Kym $19K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.6K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $1.2KToby Samuel $15K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.4KBianca Andreescu $8.4K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
same side · consensus Inaki Montes
—Inaki Montes $879Inaki Montes $1.3K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $371Jurij Rodionov $314—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41—