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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpJesetradingRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)74% (618–216, n=834)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$9.3K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #21PM monthly #901PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus47% (9 of 19 open)68% (133 of 195 open)58% (11 of 19 open)61% (68 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%74% of 441 at avg 68¢, ROI +5%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)21% (won 15% of 92)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)8% (won 44% of 34)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)7% (won 87% of 31)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)64% (won 95% of 284)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpJesetradingRN1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $182K—Yes $11K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.0K—Over $85
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $301—No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $274—Under $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $498—Under $259
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $95—Over $351
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $269—Suns $6
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Trail Blazers $93—Suns $160
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $12—Trail Blazers $99
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $895—Quentin Halys $1.3K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $1.7K—Lakers $3
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.5K—Spurs $183
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $792—Under $506
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $865—Under $28
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $864—Lakers $13
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $20
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $471—Under $151
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $302—Over $252
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Clippers $88—Clippers $215
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10—Yes $162
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $28