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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpISMS2222UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6543–6108, n=12651)36% (25–44, n=69)50% (20622–20404, n=41026)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$174K$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #701PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)70% (181 of 259 open)100% (4 of 4 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −15 pts, n=16—
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%44% of 59 at avg 41¢, ROI +7%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)36% (won 33% of 21)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)27% (won 19% of 16)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)29% (won 65% of 17)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)8% (won 100% of 5)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpISMS2222UpTheBlues
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $64
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Athletic Club $226
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $137—Yes $2
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $76K—Yes $33K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $489—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $613—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $104—Under $960
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $319—Under $718
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Over $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $361—Under $595
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112—Yes $52
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $129—CD Pamplona $6