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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDanny8273keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)56% (61–47, n=108)81% (21–5, n=26)47% (692–767, n=1459)
Consensus PnL$770K$6.4K$865K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #921PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus53% (16 of 30 open)100% (1 of 1 open)61% (91 of 148 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%0%5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 100% of 25)0%34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 30)36% (won 78% of 9)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)64% (won 94% of 16)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDanny8273keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $874K—Falcons $16K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
Titans $116K—Jaguars $11K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $77K—49ers $23K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $58K—Dolphins $39K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $71K—Falcons $25K
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $60K—Falcons $14
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $6.9K—Dolphins $2.4K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Titans $40—Jaguars $3.8K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
Colts $272—Dolphins $531
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $204K—Vikings $21K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $91K—Colts $10K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $37K—Cowboys $3.3K