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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BerkajagoogleplayHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (6–6, n=12)54% (361–305, n=666)46% (385–445, n=830)
Consensus PnL$0$423K$444K$502K
Tracked asPM monthly #756PM monthly #17PM monthly #6PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position77% (125 of 162 open)68% (44 of 65 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 24¢, ROI +15%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 100% of 1)0%1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢0%17% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 62)38% (won 100% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢0%83% (won 100% of 5)59% (won 100% of 115)49% (won 100% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up0%0%8% (won 100% of 15)8% (won 100% of 21)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBerkajagoogleplayHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $5.1KPacers $20K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $7.5KOver $11K
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Hawks $4.4KBulls $13K
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $6.6KUnder $5.3K
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
——Grizzlies $2.5KPelicans $7.6K
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $8.0KUnder $256
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.0KUnder $2.8K
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.5KUnder $3.4K
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $408Under $1.6K
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Knicks $6Knicks $26K
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5.1KOver $4.8K
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh
same side · consensus Pittsburgh
——Florida State $3.0KFlorida State $2.8K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $2.1KPelicans $3.4K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $6Over $4.7K
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Knicks $4.1KKnicks $397
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.4KOver $789