Consensus PnL $0 · no settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #756 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$0
Record
0W / 0L
Win Rate
—
Batting Avg
—
Win-rate rank
#1516
Source
PM monthly #756
Record (90 d)
0/0
Trades
6
Markets
2
Volume
$227.41
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Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?Yes $461 · now 9¢ · in at 4¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?Yes $86 · now 6¢ · in at 3¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
1 settled consensus market · held side won 100% at an average entry of 24¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Berkaja's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 100%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.