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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (474–253, n=727)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)
Consensus PnL$24K$1.4M$3.2M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #484PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)66% (81 of 122 open)no open consensus position57% (16 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +5 pts n=197, ROI +7%
  • NBA +6 pts n=73, ROI +2%
  • NFL +7 pts n=47, ROI +16%
Weakest topicCrypto −10 pts, n=22NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won64% of 627 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 15% of 110)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 47% of 100)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 57% of 158)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 95% of 259)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
—Alex Michelsen $5.5K—Yannick Hanfmann $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Texas Mean Green (W)
opposite sides · consensus Duke Blue Devils
North Texas Mean Green $1.8K——Duke Blue Devils $43
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Machac
—Tomas Machac $1.1K—Borna Gojo $508
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Will Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $417No $48——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
—Cameron Norrie $12K—Cameron Norrie $19K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti
same side · consensus Massimo Giunta
—Massimo Giunta $609—Massimo Giunta $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $21