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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlanCurtisFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (200–178, n=378)53% (5890–5273, n=11163)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)
Consensus PnL$22K$3.3M$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #833PM monthly #22PM monthly #1PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (130 of 192 open)no open consensus position53% (19 of 36 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won70% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI 0%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 31% of 143)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 81% of 79)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 98% of 61)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 96)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlanCurtisFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $941
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
—Aliaksandra Sasnovich $4.5K—Talia Gibson $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $927—Over $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0K—Yes $7
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4K—No $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito
opposite sides · consensus Katie Swan
—Aoi Ito $92—Katie Swan $281
W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu
opposite sides · consensus Jia-Jing Lu
—Naho Sato $26—Jia-Jing Lu $60
W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Antonia Stoyanov
—Alisa Oktiabreva $54—Antonia Stoyanov $19
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39K—Under $45
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Billy Harris
same side · consensus Jan Kumstat
—Jan Kumstat $6.9K—Jan Kumstat $16K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.9K—No $1.6K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115—No $3.3K
W100 Incheon: Sohyun Park vs Yujia Huang
same side · consensus Yujia Huang
—Yujia Huang $85—Yujia Huang $2.1K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $44—No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102—Under $1.1K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $379—No $662
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $117—Yes $162
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
—Yuzuha Negishi $169—Yuzuha Negishi $105
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito
same side · consensus Sara Saito
—Sara Saito $2—Sara Saito $228
M25 Heraklion: Kai Wehnelt vs Benjamin Pietri
same side · consensus Benjamin Pietri
—Benjamin Pietri $13—Benjamin Pietri $76