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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 76marsh | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (28–15, n=43) | 44% (11385–14473, n=25858) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | $40K | -$8.8M | $4.1M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #369 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #114 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 60% (56 of 94 open) | 73% (141 of 194 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 23 at avg 63¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 7) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 100% of 7) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 76marsh | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Rams $41K | Commanders $320 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $32K | Lakers $747 | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $21K | Colts $63 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Bulls $11K | 76ers $797 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Kings $5.2K | Heat $298 | — |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $345 | Over $3.6K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $151 | Yes $2.7K | — |
| Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Over $80 | — |
| Jets vs. Chiefs same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $42K | Chiefs $5.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | — |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $7.2K | Over $1.3K | — |
| Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.5K | Over $107 | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova same side · consensus Marta Kostyuk | — | Marta Kostyuk $613 | Marta Kostyuk $309 | — |
| Panthers vs. Bruins same side · consensus Bruins | — | Panthers $560 | Panthers $30 | — |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $118 | Under $297 | — |
| Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-8.5) same side · consensus Green Bay Phoenix | — | Green Bay Phoenix $249 | Green Bay Phoenix $59 | — |
| Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger | — | Mitchell Krueger $196 | Mitchell Krueger $65 | — |