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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M—$7.7M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87—PM monthly #1PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (47 of 71 open)no open consensus position91% (31 of 34 open)54% (31 of 57 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)—10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)—36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)—35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)—20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32K——Lakers $38
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $28K——Bucks $116
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $12K——76ers $121
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Timberwolves $11K——Jazz $116
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Lakers $8.2K——Pistons $157
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.7K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.7K——Under $349
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Over $164
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $10——Chargers $25
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $85K——Seahawks $3.8K
Texans vs. Chargers
same side · consensus Texans
Texans $73K——Texans $11K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Jessica Pegula
Coco Gauff $42K——Coco Gauff $36K
Spread: Packers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Patriots $1.5K——Patriots $3.6K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $2—Chargers $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $943——Nets $144