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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpMigRodrRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3648–6671, n=10319)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)21% (15–56, n=71)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.3M$80K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #621PM monthly #24PM monthly #292PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (14 of 19 open)70% (204 of 290 open)33% (1 of 3 open)55% (17 of 31 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +64%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)40% (won 100% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)53% (won 100% of 8)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)0%36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)7% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpMigRodrRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3KUnder $14K—Over $1.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Tomas Etcheverry $17KTomas Etcheverry $10K—Tomas Etcheverry $20K
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $21KJurij Rodionov $2.7K—Jurij Rodionov $8.7K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $34KOlympique de Marseille $1.3K——
W75 Petange: Dalma Galfi vs Amandine Hesse
opposite sides · consensus Amandine Hesse
—Dalma Galfi $676—Amandine Hesse $10K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.2KYes $472—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $1.5KTaylor Fritz $537——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $154—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $134Under $1.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
—GenOne $2—Brute $622
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Ryan Nijboer $7Juan Bautista Torres $53——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
—Pia Lovric $21—Oriana Gniewkowska $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2K—Yes $5.5K
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Philip Henning
Philip Henning $6.9K——Philip Henning $3.7K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Over $1.9K
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $610No $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.2K——Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus GamerLegion
GamerLegion $896GamerLegion $30——
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $261—Over $664
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42
Nepal Premier League: Kathmandu Gurkhas vs Biratnagar Kings
same side · consensus Kathmandu Gurkhas
Kathmandu Gurkhas $39Kathmandu Gurkhas $12——