Consensus PnL $100K · win rate 41% (13–19, n=32) · PM monthly #150 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$100.1K
Record
13W / 19L
Win Rate
41.0%
of 32 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2394
Source
PM monthly #150
Record (90 d)
13/13 · 100%
Trades
257
Markets
34
Volume
$1.5M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?No $1.6K · now 25¢ · in at 39¢with the consensus (60% of 6)
Specialties
13 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 35¢- Soccer
+65 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 35¢
ROI +64%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 38%(won 100% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 54%(won 100% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 8%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.