Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xC84e712F3C47A7532BE17f758fE6Bd45695cA5D2-1779887461766BreakTheBankFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (58–47, n=105)71% (2825–1180, n=4005)52% (590–548, n=1138)
Consensus PnL$0$381K$529K$400K
Tracked asPM monthly #985PM monthly #2PM monthly #8PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (7 of 11 open)54% (128 of 239 open)68% (68 of 100 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=204—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—0%40% (won 6% of 531)2% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)24% (won 38% of 315)32% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)11% (won 61% of 150)60% (won 100% of 189)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 320)7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xC84e712F3C47A7532BE17f758fE6Bd45695cA5D2-1779887461766BreakTheBankFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $1.8KPanthers $3.3KSaints $26K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $115KVikings $303Vikings $6.7K
Patriots vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $727K—Patriots $11K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $221KFalcons $165—
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
——Cowboys $1549ers $8.4K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $31Under $4.1K
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $75Mavericks $200
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $620Seahawks $20K
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $159Mavericks $5.8K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——Pacers $170Pacers $4.2K
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $9Suns $3.7K
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
——Rockets $356Rockets $2.4K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $2.0K
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes
——Creighton Bluejays $97Creighton Bluejays $300
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $182Spurs $182
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $246