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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8e83fae02e603cc2860638315f1c161fde5ab22fBreakTheBankRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)55% (101–84, n=185)41% (589–853, n=1442)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$25K$7.7M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #844PM monthly #1PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (46 of 61 open)57% (86 of 152 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicTennis −13 pts, n=24——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won35% of 55 at avg 46¢, ROI −5%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 13% of 15)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 38% of 8)36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢51% (won 36% of 28)35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 4)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8e83fae02e603cc2860638315f1c161fde5ab22fBreakTheBankRN1S-Works
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $190KEagles $11K—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $163K76ers $371—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $115KNo $2.9K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $101KCowboys $4.5K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67KEagles $560—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16KNo $15K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11KEagles $217—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $49376ers $155—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $208KUnder $4.5K—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68KGiants $8.6K—
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $21KChiefs $11K—
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $24KColts $7.0K—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $22KBulls $81—
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18KChiefs $1.6K—
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $6.3KBrowns $311—