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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Novelty8 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (633–230, n=863) | 63% (1095–631, n=1726) | 50% (1244–1255, n=2499) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | -$69K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #750 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 72% (70 of 97 open) | 75% (15 of 20 open) | 57% (56 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 463 at avg 88¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 5) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 98% of 41) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 100% of 51) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 79% (won 100% of 366) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Novelty8 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Colts $5.1K | Cowboys $1.6K |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4.2K | Under $901 |
| Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.3K | Over $843 |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.2K | Over $333 |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | — | Eagles $95 | Giants $2.9K |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $13 | Rams $1.0K |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | — | Commanders $247 | Rams $52 |
| Lions vs. Dolphins same side · consensus Lions | — | — | Lions $47K | Lions $2.0K |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.8K | Under $4.2K |
| Spread: Giants (-5.5) same side · consensus Eagles | — | — | Eagles $143 | Eagles $2.8K |
| Browns vs. Saints same side · consensus Saints | — | — | Browns $88 | Browns $2.4K |
| Giants vs. Eagles same side · consensus Eagles | — | — | Eagles $951 | Eagles $1.1K |
| Spread: Lions (-14.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | — | — | Dolphins $1.6K | Dolphins $3 |