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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4MadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market51% (797–781, n=1578)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL——-$13K$14.8M
Tracked as——PM monthly #517PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position40% (72 of 179 open)63% (177 of 279 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——5% (won 100% of 26)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢——17% (won 100% of 85)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢——19% (won 100% of 94)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up——59% (won 100% of 296)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4MadridTimeRN1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.7KYes $48K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $506Yes $31K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
——Tomas Machac $8.8KArthur Fils $11K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $365Over $18K
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $938Yes $13K
Will RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.4KNo $10K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $549Over $9.7K
Will Viking FK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $1.2KYes $6.5K
Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.4KNo $5.0K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $558No $4.2K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $77Over $4.2K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2Over $3.1K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $35Over $3.0K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
——Leyre Romero Gormaz $2.3KSolana Sierra $476
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $140Over $2.3K
Will PSV vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $117No $2.2K
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $244No $1.7K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5Under $1.8K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $16No $1.7K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $12Over $1.7K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $117Over $1.6K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $8No $1.7K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $21Yes $1.5K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $66Over $1.2K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $22Under $792
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $495Over $205
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SSC Napoli
——FC Porto $458SSC Napoli $183
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $210Yes $378
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Manchester City FC
——RB Leipzig $438Manchester City FC $55
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $45No $354
Will Viking FK vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $391No $4
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Betis Balompié
——BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $378Real Betis Balompié $12
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $71Yes $143
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $34Over $151
Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $129Under $28
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $77Yes $35
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $5Yes $104
Spread: Club Brugge KV (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus PSV
——Club Brugge KV $88PSV $19
PSV leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $5Yes $88
Exact Score: Viking FK 3 - 1 Sabah FK?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $39Yes $6
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $5Yes $15
Exact Score: Bristol City FC 1 - 0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4Yes $7
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $32KNo $6.5K
Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
——Renata Zarazua $12KRenata Zarazua $18K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $1.4KNo $24K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $15KNo $6.5K
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.4KNo $15K
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $7.9KNo $9.8K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $13K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $11KNo $148