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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorplossxRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5603–5047, n=10650)68% (263–123, n=386)47% (12761–14165, n=26926)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$10K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #22was PM monthly #959PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (125 of 168 open)0% (0 of 1 open)65% (59 of 91 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Crypto +3 pts n=35, ROI −11%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Esports −1 pts, n=58—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%55% of 93 at avg 54¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)14% (won 23% of 13)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)30% (won 39% of 28)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)32% (won 60% of 30)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)24% (won 86% of 22)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorplossxRN1
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $72—Over $26K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $927—Over $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $978—Under $320
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $98—Yes $947
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $301—No $702
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $46—Over $895
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $687—Yes $24
Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $222—Over $431
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $374—No $218
Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $60—Yes $381
W35 Hamamatsu: Yuka Hosoki vs Funa Kozaki
opposite sides · consensus Funa Kozaki
—Funa Kozaki $364—Yuka Hosoki $49
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $333—Under $12
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $170—Over $46
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $209—Over $1
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $93—Under $48
Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $30—Under $30
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $38K—Under $46
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Chun-Hsin Tseng
same side · consensus Chun-Hsin Tseng
—Chun-Hsin Tseng $546—Chun-Hsin Tseng $27K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $12K—No $2.2K
Taipei: Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Alexandre Muller
—Alexandre Muller $7.7K—Alexandre Muller $1.6K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.5K—No $1.4K
Will Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $485—No $4.3K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115—No $3.3K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 FC Bayern München?
same side · consensus No
—No $136—No $2.8K
W100 Incheon: JiaYi Wang vs Ha Eum Lee
same side · consensus JiaYi Wang
—JiaYi Wang $2.8K—JiaYi Wang $92
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Bayern München?
same side · consensus No
—No $346—No $1.8K
W100 Incheon: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Caroline Werner
same side · consensus Zhuoxuan Bai
—Zhuoxuan Bai $2.1K—Zhuoxuan Bai $39
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $96—No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $97—Under $1.1K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $379—No $662
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $589—No $420
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $81—No $918
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $729—Boluspor $43
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $124—No $431
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $526—No $7
Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK?
same side · consensus No
—No $381—No $134
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $487—No $28
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Sakura Hosogi
same side · consensus Han Shi
—Han Shi $337—Han Shi $44
Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $164—No $160
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $117—Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $17—Over $168
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
—Yuzuha Negishi $67—Yuzuha Negishi $112
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $120—Under $8
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $68—Under $41