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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpHomeRunHazardiammillionaire
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)71% (2093–854, n=2947)54% (448–384, n=832)no settled market
Consensus PnL$856K$387K$332K—
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #714
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (169 of 322 open)64% (122 of 190 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%—
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)—
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)—
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpHomeRunHazardiammillionaire
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13Under $983—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $356Miami (FL) $49—
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Colorado Buffaloes $209Providence Friars $4—
West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 148.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $106Under $105—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $78Over $24—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $58Grizzlies $27—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.1KPelicans $16K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
—Kansas $3Kansas $6.6K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $377Heat $1.0K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $172Falcons $1.2K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K—
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 130.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $278Over $929—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
same side · consensus Ohio State
—Northwestern $218Northwestern $911—
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $34Under $626—
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-8.5)
same side · consensus Colorado State Rams
—Loyola Chicago Ramblers $36Loyola Chicago Ramblers $168—