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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (288–313, n=601)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)
Consensus PnL-$11K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #24PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (192 of 270 open)58% (18 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won67% of 253 at avg 53¢, ROI +7%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 27% of 41)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 62% of 79)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 75% of 68)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 89% of 65)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $181
W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
—Pia Lovric $44Oriana Gniewkowska $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $23KSorana Cirstea $21K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $23KAnastasia Zakharova $17K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KOver $1.9K
Will FC Bunyodkor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $747
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Toby Samuel $65Toby Samuel $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K
Will FC Bunyodkor vs. Xorazm Fk Urganch end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $644No $517
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $261Over $664
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42