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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (288–313, n=601)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)
Consensus PnL-$11K$3.6M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (126 of 174 open)no open consensus position55% (21 of 38 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won66% of 266 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 26% of 43)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 60% of 82)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 74% of 70)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 89% of 71)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3.5K—Yes $6.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maccabi Petah Tikva FC
—Maccabi Petah Tikva FC $973—Maccabi Tel Aviv FC $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $685
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $89—Under $619
Exact Score: Madura United 2 - 0 Arema FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $101—Yes $2
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $82—Justina Mikulskyte $3
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.0K—No $2.9K
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.2K—Under $669
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $2.5K
Will Madura United vs. Arema FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $2.1K
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.7K—Under $54
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.0K
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.0K—Under $478
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42