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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (289–313, n=602)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)
Consensus PnL-$11K$3.6M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #10PM monthly #95PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (122 of 170 open)72% (52 of 72 open)50% (13 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won66% of 266 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 26% of 43)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 60% of 82)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 74% of 70)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 89% of 71)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Will PFK Dinamo Samarqand win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $7—Yes $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $680
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $36K—Alexandra Eala $50K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
—Mai Hontama $8.6K—Mai Hontama $19K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Rinky Hijikata $1.3K—Rinky Hijikata $8.6K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jerome Kym
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $5.3K—Jerome Kym $3.0K
Villa Maria: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nicolas Kicker
same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker
—Nicolas Kicker $1.5K—Nicolas Kicker $453
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42