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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (289–313, n=602)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL-$11K$3.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #11PM monthly #53PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (215 of 284 open)0% (0 of 1 open)55% (53 of 96 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won66% of 266 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 26% of 43)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 60% of 82)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 74% of 70)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 89% of 71)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466FlaznorpprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $9.8K—Over $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.7K—Over $777
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.7K—Yes $108
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Genaro Alberto Olivieri $1.8K—Juan Bautista Torres $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.5K—Juan Carlos Prado $268
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $110—Over $1.5K
Will Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $529
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $749—Under $128
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $714—Over $38
Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $286—No $462
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Malaika Rapolu
opposite sides · consensus Malaika Rapolu
—Malaika Rapolu $94—Sofia Johnson $526
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $510—Under $86
FC Argeș Pitești vs. Dinamo 1948: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $338—Under $234
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $440—Over $17
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $357—No $68
Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $414—No $2
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $237—No $74
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—76ers $188—Cavaliers $107
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $51—Kimmer Coppejans $213
Will CA Barracas Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $176—Yes $17
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $75—Under $24
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $34—Over $5
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $13K—No $13K
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $11K—Yes $8.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.9K—No $3.7K
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Everton FC
—Everton FC $7.2K—Everton FC $2.2K
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7.6K—Over $1.8K
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.4K—Yes $3.9K
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2K—No $4.3K
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.9K—Under $186
Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.5K—No $1.5K
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0K—Over $2.4K
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $860—Carlo Alberto Caniato $1.7K
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $561
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $942—No $811
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $186
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $104—Under $1.1K
Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $754—Yes $321
Spread: SG Dynamo Dresden (-3.5)
same side · consensus SG Dynamo Dresden
—SG Dynamo Dresden $834—SG Dynamo Dresden $10
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $537—No $188