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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighNM-Pprimm
Record (consensus markets)49% (38–40, n=78)42% (124–169, n=293)51% (27–26, n=53)62% (13–8, n=21)
Consensus PnL-$384K$172K-$1.4K-$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #35PM monthly #338PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus46% (6 of 13 open)73% (27 of 37 open)52% (14 of 27 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • Tennis +62 pts n=51, ROI +53%
  • NFL +49 pts n=63, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +45 pts n=211, ROI +31%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 409 at avg 52¢, ROI +27%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)6% (won 100% of 9)9% (won 100% of 38)9% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)42% (won 100% of 63)39% (won 100% of 161)27% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)40% (won 100% of 61)36% (won 100% of 149)64% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)12% (won 100% of 18)15% (won 100% of 61)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465keeptheblueflagflyinghighNM-Pprimm
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula $3.5KJessica Pegula $16KJessica Pegula $2.4K—
Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana
opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato
Francisco Comesana $91KMarco Cecchinato $89K——
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $52KJazz $17K——
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $19KUnder $742——
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $16KOver $170—
Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan
—Western Michigan $12K—Akron $109
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.0KOver $186—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $4.8KCameron Norrie $113—
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2KUnder $1—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $727Under $2—
Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo
opposite sides · consensus Dali Blanch
Dali Blanch $37Marko Topo $375——
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Elmer Moeller
Elmer Moeller $3.9KElmer Moeller $12K——
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
same side · consensus Kent State
Kent State $192Kent State $1.2K——
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $515Under $199—
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $217Under $178—