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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465gdime27RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4537–3326, n=7863)57% (238–182, n=420)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$6.9K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #985PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)47% (8 of 17 open)51% (76 of 149 open)69% (31 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Geopolitics −4 pts, n=60——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%22% of 336 at avg 21¢, ROI +1%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)71% (won 6% of 240)10% (won 57% of 2588)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)6% (won 15% of 20)22% (won 94% of 5673)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)10% (won 64% of 33)35% (won 99% of 9163)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)13% (won 84% of 43)33% (won 100% of 8536)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465gdime27RN1UpTheBlues
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $107K—Taylor Fritz $24K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K——No $15K
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $12K—Under $9—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $7.6K—Under $25—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.1K—No $3.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $194—No $1.8K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $216
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $960
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $801