Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465crmannetjeFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3290, n=7808)52% (23–21, n=44)52% (6492–5998, n=12490)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$38K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #502PM monthly #24PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)100% (2 of 2 open)72% (176 of 245 open)55% (17 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Soccer −18 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 41 at avg 47¢, ROI +20%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)27% (won 27% of 11)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)24% (won 60% of 10)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)37% (won 67% of 15)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)12% (won 100% of 5)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465crmannetjeFlaznorpRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $370—Alexandra Eala $6.2KAlexandra Eala $33K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $14KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KOver $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
——Ben Shelton $1.6KArthur Rinderknech $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $754Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $831Yes $61
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
——Remy Bertola $274Kilian Feldbausch $257
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $14Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
——Coleman Wong $3.4KColeman Wong $10K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—Yes $2.6K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $7.6KFURIA $5—
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
——Lucrezia Stefanini $9Lucrezia Stefanini $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $102Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos
same side · consensus Melios Efstathiou
——Melios Efstathiou $206Melios Efstathiou $289
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $116Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $42