No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #416 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #416
Record (90 d)
9/10 · 90%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Specialties
20 settled consensus markets · held side won 60% at an average entry of 46¢- Esports
+33 pts
side won 90% of 10 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +37%
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 30% of 10 at an average 35¢ entry (−5 pts against the price), ROI −23%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 30%(won 33% of 6)
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 50% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 45%(won 78% of 9)
- 70¢ and up: 5%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.