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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | boltbison | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3297, n=7818) | 54% (14–12, n=26) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $19K | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #958 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (14 of 23 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (305 of 438 open) | 64% (126 of 197 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 21% (won 100% of 3) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
94 on the same side, 60 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | boltbison | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz $119K | — | Arthur Fils $8.7K | Taylor Fritz $29K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $211K | — | Yes $24K | Yes $11K |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $25K | — | Under $3.6K | Under $58 |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $29 | — | No $13K | No $1.9K |
| Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $106 | — | No $6.1K | No $8.0K |
| Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua same side · consensus Julia Riera | Julia Riera $870 | — | Julia Riera $4.9K | Julia Riera $7.1K |
| Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $161 | — | No $4.1K | No $213 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $13K | — | Under $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AC Milan | — | — | AC Milan $13K | Ferencvárosi TC $1.2K |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $9.6K |
| Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $10K | Yes $1.7K |
| Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $11K | Yes $95 |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $6.4K | — | Under $899 | — |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.7K | Over $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4.8K | Under $750 |
| Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg | — | — | Daniel Milavsky $738 | Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | — | No $5.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.4K | Yes $85 |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.7K | Over $470 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.7K | No $554 |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe | — | — | Whitney Osuigwe $2.1K | Lavinia Tanasie $5 |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.5K | Yes $515 |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $23 | Over $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $425 | Over $1.2K |
| RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $880 | Over $725 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $164 | No $1.4K |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Over $289 |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Over $13 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.4K | No $104 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $446 | Over $675 |
| Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $16 |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $819 | Yes $224 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Jordan Lee vs Keaton Hance opposite sides · consensus Jordan Lee | — | — | Keaton Hance $390 | Jordan Lee $556 |
| Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $674 | No $202 |
| Exact Score: Kuopion PS 1 - 0 KAA Gent? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $199 | No $627 |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $296 | Yes $515 |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen | — | — | Greet Minnen $686 | Lisa Pigato $48 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $718 | Over $1 |
| W50 Huamantla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Valeriya Strakhova opposite sides · consensus Valeriya Strakhova | — | — | Anastasia Tikhonova $437 | Valeriya Strakhova $196 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $6 | Over $502 |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $412 | Over $71 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $387 | No $89 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 1 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $14 | Yes $431 |