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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Flaznorpyoucanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)57% (4516–3391, n=7907)no settled market52% (6417–5939, n=12356)49% (6347–6527, n=12874)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$3.3M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #69—PM monthly #21PM monthly #677
Sides with the consensus70% (14 of 20 open)no open consensus position73% (131 of 179 open)48% (12 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—29% (won 11% of 423)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—16% (won 40% of 243)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—17% (won 62% of 255)22% (won 99% of 140)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—38% (won 94% of 561)53% (won 100% of 333)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Flaznorpyoucanbuythisbot
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—Yes $2.6KNo $374
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $14KYes $2
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.6KYes $37
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $9
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $422Under $13
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $206Yes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $14KUnder $839
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13K—Quentin Halys $861—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.4KNo $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.1KNo $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.0KOver $43
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $24
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——No $548No $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $466Yes $18
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $476Over $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $355Under $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $1
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $116Yes $7
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $102Yes $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $102Under $5