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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighNM-P
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–67, n=126)75% (732–246, n=978)45% (193–240, n=433)47% (33–37, n=70)
Consensus PnL-$296K$69K$26K-$3.2K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #43PM monthly #532
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)64% (54 of 84 open)90% (9 of 10 open)67% (14 of 21 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +52 pts n=15, ROI +50%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 31 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)6% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)55% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)19% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 100% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighNM-P
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $1.0KCasper Ruud $5.2KAlexander Shevchenko $350
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $458Elina Svitolina $360
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $202KG2 $4——
LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights
opposite sides · consensus LG Sakers
—Seoul Knights $1.9KLG Sakers $841—
Will Belarus win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $350—Yes $351
Will Albania win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $431—Yes $236
Will Türkiye vs. Belgium end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $93—No $267
Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $13—No $298
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $191—Jurij Rodionov $17K—
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $1.1KSumit Nagal $8.7K—
Will England win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.3K—Yes $780
Czechia vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $88
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva
—Aryna Sabalenka $984—Aryna Sabalenka $30
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
—No $431—No $262
Commanders vs. Giants
same side · consensus Giants
—Giants $23—Giants $280
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93——Vikings $168
Will Armenia win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
—No $157—No $63
Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Thunder
same side · consensus Perth Scorchers
—Sydney Thunder $119Sydney Thunder $87—