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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 95% (93–5, n=98) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $3.3M | $14.8M | $95K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #555 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (19 of 29 open) | 66% (226 of 343 open) | 58% (143 of 247 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 109 at avg 95¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 99% (won 98% of 108) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
43 on the same side, 49 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $902 | Eastern Michigan $60 | Central Michigan $12K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.7K | Lakers $606 | Lakers $3 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.3K | Celtics $1.3K | Bucks $765 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $82 | Over $799 | Under $830 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.6K | Raptors $379 | Raptors $275 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $54 | Over $2.8K | Over $27 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Bucks $4.1K | Celtics $485 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $3.0K | Bulls $156 | — | — |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.6K | Under $230 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $301 | No $2.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $2.0K | Grizzlies $522 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Bucks $2.2K | Celtics $3 | — |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Nets $2.1K | Hornets $40 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $274 | Under $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $1.7K | Bucks $57 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $23 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Bulls $1.4K | Knicks $158 | — |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | Over $57 | — |
| Spread: Sabres (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sabres | — | Senators $56 | Sabres $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pistons $399 | 76ers $885 | — | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | Over $138 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.0K | Over $12 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $988 | Bulls $47 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | No $529 | — |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Nets $749 | Hornets $125 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $768 | Lakers $31 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $680 | Under $87 | — |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $752 | Under $8 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $457 | Pacers $180 | — |
| Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $102 | Over $535 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $555 | Bulls $16 | — |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $464 | Under $106 | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $330 | Over $235 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $405 | Grizzlies $123 | — |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $414 | Over $46 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Cavaliers $179 | Thunder $270 | — |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $429 | Over $6 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $319 | Pistons $49 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Nuggets $200 | Raptors $130 | — |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | Over $278 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $124 | Trail Blazers $99 | — |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $48 | Under $169 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $128 | Over $85 | — |
| Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $159 | Over $1 | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $100 | Over $2 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-21.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $32 | Pistons $63 | — |