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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGC-Pkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–67, n=126)75% (732–246, n=978)47% (32–36, n=68)45% (193–240, n=433)
Consensus PnL-$296K$69K-$5.4K$26K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #872PM monthly #43
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)66% (56 of 85 open)79% (15 of 19 open)73% (11 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +52 pts n=12, ROI +51%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 23 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)4% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)52% (won 100% of 12)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)26% (won 100% of 6)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)17% (won 100% of 4)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGC-Pkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $216KG2 $4—G2 $1.5K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $1.0KAlexander Shevchenko $292Casper Ruud $5.2K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $163Elina Svitolina $458
LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights
opposite sides · consensus LG Sakers
—Seoul Knights $1.9K—LG Sakers $841
Will Belarus win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $350Yes $351—
Will Albania win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $431Yes $237—
W35 Heraklion: Denislava Glushkova vs Lucie Nguyen Tan
opposite sides · consensus Lucie Nguyen Tan
—Lucie Nguyen Tan $402—Denislava Glushkova $4
Will Türkiye vs. Belgium end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $93No $267—
Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $13No $144—
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Sumit Nagal $1.1K—Sumit Nagal $7.9K
Will England win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.3KYes $1.1K—
Czechia vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $71—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-22?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8KNo $46—
W35 Heraklion: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Teodora Miron
same side · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $1.1K—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $414
W35 Heraklion: Giorgia Pedone vs Marianna Argyrokastriti
same side · consensus Marianna Argyrokastriti
—Marianna Argyrokastriti $545—Marianna Argyrokastriti $527
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus No
—No $431No $407—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93—Vikings $228—
Commanders vs. Giants
same side · consensus Giants
—Giants $23Giants $280—
Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Thunder
same side · consensus Perth Scorchers
—Sydney Thunder $119—Sydney Thunder $87
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $29No $88—