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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | FakePolls | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (38–40, n=78) | no settled market | 42% (124–169, n=293) | 68% (313–146, n=459) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $0 | $172K | -$105K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #212 | PM monthly #35 | PM monthly #37 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (5 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (27 of 36 open) | 68% (28 of 41 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 1 at avg 75¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 0% | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 0% | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | FakePolls | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato | Francisco Comesana $91K | — | — | Marco Cecchinato $43K |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $52K | — | Jazz $17K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $19K | — | Under $742 | — |
| Knoxville: Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh opposite sides · consensus Michael Mmoh | — | — | Michael Mmoh $13K | Aidan Mayo $38 |
| W50 Chihuahua: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Miriana Tona opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Tikhonova | — | — | Anastasia Tikhonova $518 | Miriana Tona $232 |
| Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo opposite sides · consensus Marko Topo | Dali Blanch $37 | — | Marko Topo $419 | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Jessica Pegula | Jessica Pegula $3.5K | — | Jessica Pegula $16K | — |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $3.9K | — | Elmer Moeller $12K | — |
| Knoxville: Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet same side · consensus Oliver Tarvet | — | — | Oliver Tarvet $4.0K | Oliver Tarvet $985 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) same side · consensus Kent State | Kent State $192 | — | Kent State $1.2K | — |
| Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet same side · consensus Kyrian Jacquet | Hugo Grenier $38 | — | — | Hugo Grenier $128 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $4 | — | — | Under $18 |