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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjuice-fruitMadridTime
Record (consensus markets)47% (41–47, n=88)60% (12–8, n=20)100% (1–0, n=1)54% (167–145, n=312)
Consensus PnL-$411K$779K$152K-$37K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #1PM monthly #32PM monthly #233
Sides with the consensus59% (13 of 22 open)58% (7 of 12 open)no open consensus position44% (33 of 75 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +57 pts n=44, ROI +56%
  • Soccer +37 pts n=23, ROI +29%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%100% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)11% (won 69% of 36)2% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)35% (won 97% of 116)25% (won 100% of 12)65% (won 100% of 57)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)37% (won 99% of 124)44% (won 100% of 21)8% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)17% (won 100% of 56)29% (won 100% of 14)22% (won 100% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjuice-fruitMadridTime
Celtics vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $22KCeltics $74K—76ers $505
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $20KCiryl Gane $47K——
Heat vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $24K——Jazz $981
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19K——Heat $15
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $17K——Under $1.3K
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $37K——Bucks $16
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Jazz $19K——Jazz $661
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $19K—Celtics $8
Western Michigan vs. Akron
same side · consensus Western Michigan
Akron $10K——Akron $109
Bucks vs. Knicks
same side · consensus Knicks
Bucks $8.5K——Bucks $103
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $6.2K——Over $10
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $340—Celtics $11
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
same side · consensus Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) $70——Miami (OH) $104
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $32——Jazz $5