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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546571122FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (70–71, n=141)no settled market75% (837–274, n=1111)66% (489–255, n=744)
Consensus PnL-$383K$79$123K-$132K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #435PM monthly #13PM monthly #46 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (5 of 15 open)64% (7 of 11 open)70% (143 of 203 open)65% (13 of 20 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 2 at avg 32¢, ROI +11%52% of 214 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%31% (won 9% of 66)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)100% (won 100% of 2)26% (won 45% of 56)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)0%14% (won 69% of 29)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)0%29% (won 97% of 63)51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546571122FlaznorpRN1
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $8.3K—Knicks $199—
Exact Score: Londrina EC 0 - 0 Clube Náutico Capibaribe?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $102No $564
Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $358Over $281
Will Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $386No $249
Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $93Under $534
Spread: Penn Quakers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
——Penn Quakers $78Navy Midshipmen $10
Spread: Londrina EC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clube Náutico Capibaribe
——Clube Náutico Capibaribe $78Londrina EC $1
Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $13Yes $54
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31?
same side · consensus No
No $11KNo $68——
Dota 2: Time to Sleep vs CyberHero (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B
same side · consensus Time to Sleep
CyberHero $5.2K—CyberHero $643—
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Cavaliers $3.7K—Cavaliers $825—
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. East Carolina Pirates
same side · consensus East Carolina Pirates
——East Carolina Pirates $1.1KEast Carolina Pirates $876
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
same side · consensus Liam Draxl
——Liam Draxl $1.0KLiam Draxl $482
Penn Quakers vs. Navy Midshipmen
same side · consensus Penn Quakers
——Penn Quakers $513Penn Quakers $256
Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $49——Over $600
Exact Score: Londrina EC 1 - 1 Clube Náutico Capibaribe?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $13No $121
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $95—Vikings $6—
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 151.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $13Over $35