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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872primmRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)66% (3094–1604, n=4698)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)50% (20932–20600, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$213K$3.6M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #528PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus73% (11 of 15 open)no open consensus position64% (32 of 50 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1734 at avg 76¢, ROI +25%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 58)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 159)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 361)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 1156)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872primmRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.7K—Over $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.7K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $393—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $775—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $8—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $439—Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $414—No $529—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $89——Over $8
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12——Yes $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Under $595
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $796
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $468——Yes $154
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $57——Yes $71
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 2 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $46——No $3