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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x20e5e881c81fE92370d5841757AafF6332Ec1140-1779887383670HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (361–305, n=666)46% (387–447, n=834)
Consensus PnL$0$444K$509K
Tracked asPM monthly #873PM monthly #6PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (123 of 165 open)57% (30 of 53 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 62)38% (won 100% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢—59% (won 100% of 115)49% (won 100% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 15)8% (won 100% of 21)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x20e5e881c81fE92370d5841757AafF6332Ec1140-1779887383670HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $5.1KPacers $20K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.4KOver $11K
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $4.4KBulls $13K
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $13KOver $367
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6.6KUnder $5.3K
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KUnder $2.8K
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $3.4K
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $400Under $1.6K
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $2.3KRangers $26K
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Knicks $6Knicks $26K
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.1KOver $4.7K
Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bologna
same side · consensus Anadolu Efes
—Anadolu Efes $3.6KAnadolu Efes $3.7K
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh
same side · consensus Pittsburgh
—Florida State $3.0KFlorida State $2.7K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6Over $4.8K
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Knicks $4.1KKnicks $397
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.4KOver $789
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $121Spurs $473