PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
notailnotailomnibus-076daasainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (26–22, n=48)50% (13603–13729, n=27332)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12107–12936, n=25043)
Consensus PnL-$409$3.6M$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #849PM monthly #17was PM monthly #11PM monthly #15 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)65% (33 of 51 open)no open consensus position64% (27 of 42 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 59% of 860)0%10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 86% of 2252)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 94% of 4102)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 99% of 3425)0%31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketnotailnotailomnibus-076daasainttroplayRN1
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Astralis
—Inner Circle Esports $7.5K—Astralis $51K
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—BetBoom Team $184—FURIA $18K
Brest: Clement Tabur vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Clement Tabur
—Toby Samuel $374—Clement Tabur $6.1K
Courmayeur: Susan Bandecchi vs Elsa Jacquemot
opposite sides · consensus Elsa Jacquemot
—Susan Bandecchi $650—Elsa Jacquemot $5.8K
Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian
opposite sides · consensus Diego Dedura-Palomero
—Diego Dedura-Palomero $39—Valerio Aboian $4.9K
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Team Yandex
PARIVISION $239Team Yandex $3.2K——
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MIBR
—MIBR $27—fnatic $2.2K
Will Vólos NPS win on 2026-10-29?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—No $486
W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Hiromi Abe
opposite sides · consensus Ayana Akli
—Ayana Akli $157—Hiromi Abe $281
M25 Malta: Alberto Bronzetti vs James MacKinlay
opposite sides · consensus James MacKinlay
—James MacKinlay $66—Alberto Bronzetti $125
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
same side · consensus BetBoom Team
—BetBoom Team $18—BetBoom Team $19K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $74—Yes $5.6K
Modern SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $268—Under $1.8K
Modern SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $49—Under $1.6K
W75 Toronto: Madison Sieg vs Sara Saito
same side · consensus Sara Saito
—Sara Saito $483—Sara Saito $418
FC Inter Turku vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $49—Under $5