← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| notailnotail | RN1 | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (26–22, n=48) | 48% (12107–12936, n=25043) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (13603–13729, n=27332) |
| Consensus PnL | -$409 | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #849 | PM monthly #15 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #17 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 64% (27 of 42 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 64% (32 of 50 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 56% of 2478) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 8% (won 59% of 860) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5361) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 21% (won 86% of 2252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 36% (won 99% of 8705) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 4102) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 31% (won 100% of 7425) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 32% (won 99% of 3425) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | notailnotail | RN1 | beachboy4 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Astralis | — | Astralis $51K | — | Inner Circle Esports $7.5K |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus FURIA | — | FURIA $18K | — | BetBoom Team $184 |
| Brest: Clement Tabur vs Toby Samuel opposite sides · consensus Clement Tabur | — | Clement Tabur $6.1K | — | Toby Samuel $374 |
| Courmayeur: Susan Bandecchi vs Elsa Jacquemot opposite sides · consensus Elsa Jacquemot | — | Elsa Jacquemot $5.8K | — | Susan Bandecchi $650 |
| Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian opposite sides · consensus Diego Dedura-Palomero | — | Valerio Aboian $4.9K | — | Diego Dedura-Palomero $39 |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus Team Yandex | PARIVISION $239 | — | — | Team Yandex $3.2K |
| Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus MIBR | — | fnatic $2.3K | — | MIBR $27 |
| Will Vólos NPS win on 2026-10-29? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $486 | — | Yes $1.3K |
| W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Hiromi Abe opposite sides · consensus Ayana Akli | — | Hiromi Abe $281 | — | Ayana Akli $157 |
| M25 Malta: Alberto Bronzetti vs James MacKinlay opposite sides · consensus James MacKinlay | — | Alberto Bronzetti $125 | — | James MacKinlay $66 |
| Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) same side · consensus BetBoom Team | — | BetBoom Team $19K | — | BetBoom Team $18 |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $5.6K | — | Yes $74 |
| Modern SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.8K | — | Under $268 |
| Modern SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | — | Under $49 |
| W75 Toronto: Madison Sieg vs Sara Saito same side · consensus Sara Saito | — | Sara Saito $418 | — | Sara Saito $483 |
| FC Inter Turku vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5 | — | Under $49 |