PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
notailnotailRN1BreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)54% (26–22, n=48)48% (12107–12936, n=25043)45% (514–627, n=1141)50% (13603–13729, n=27332)
Consensus PnL-$409$13.4M$10.4M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #849PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)66% (27 of 41 open)70% (28 of 40 open)64% (32 of 50 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2478)10% (won 85% of 53)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5361)35% (won 98% of 181)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8705)34% (won 99% of 176)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7425)20% (won 100% of 105)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketnotailnotailRN1BreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Astralis
—Astralis $51K—Inner Circle Esports $7.5K
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $18K—BetBoom Team $184
Brest: Clement Tabur vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Clement Tabur
—Clement Tabur $6.1K—Toby Samuel $374
Courmayeur: Susan Bandecchi vs Elsa Jacquemot
opposite sides · consensus Elsa Jacquemot
—Elsa Jacquemot $5.8K—Susan Bandecchi $650
Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian
opposite sides · consensus Diego Dedura-Palomero
—Valerio Aboian $4.9K—Diego Dedura-Palomero $39
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Team Yandex
PARIVISION $239——Team Yandex $3.2K
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MIBR
—fnatic $2.3K—MIBR $27
Will Vólos NPS win on 2026-10-29?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $486—Yes $1.3K
W75 Toronto: Ayana Akli vs Hiromi Abe
opposite sides · consensus Ayana Akli
—Hiromi Abe $281—Ayana Akli $157
M25 Malta: Alberto Bronzetti vs James MacKinlay
opposite sides · consensus James MacKinlay
—Alberto Bronzetti $125—James MacKinlay $66
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
same side · consensus BetBoom Team
—BetBoom Team $19K—BetBoom Team $18
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5.6K—Yes $74
Modern SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8K—Under $268
Modern SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $49
W75 Toronto: Madison Sieg vs Sara Saito
same side · consensus Sara Saito
—Sara Saito $418—Sara Saito $483
FC Inter Turku vs. HJK Helsinki: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5—Under $49