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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677NM-PRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)83% (5378–1108, n=6486)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)50% (20932–20600, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$47K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #527PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (90 of 126 open)61% (34 of 56 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 100% of 256)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 859)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 100% of 884)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)51% (won 100% of 2087)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677NM-PRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $234Yes $5—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1No $109—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2—No $12
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.9KNo $27K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.8KNo $19K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $94No $3.4K—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2KNo $1.1K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
—Jan-Lennard Struff $280Jan-Lennard Struff $2.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $20—No $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $796
AZ vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $477No $11—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $182Warriors $130—