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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026jayemeceendb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)38% (35–58, n=93)63% (1096–631, n=1727)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M-$1.5K$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87was PM monthly #993PM monthly #108PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (23 of 33 open)0% (0 of 1 open)73% (73 of 100 open)57% (35 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Soccer −3 pts, n=52NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%38% of 93 at avg 39¢, ROI −1%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)25% (won 22% of 23)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)49% (won 33% of 46)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)20% (won 58% of 19)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 80% of 5)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026jayemeceendb1RN1
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.6K——Over $2.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.7K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $295——Buccaneers $2.4K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $26——Bears $877
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91K——Coco Gauff $58K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65K——Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $27K——Bears $27K
Penguins vs. Ducks
same side · consensus Ducks
Ducks $34K——Ducks $1.5K
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $33K——Over $73
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $28K——Celtics $1.4K
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $19K——Under $499
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9.9K——Over $133
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Kings $4.5K——Kings $2.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360