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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)43% (11778–15356, n=27134)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)43% (10–13, n=23)58% (156–114, n=270)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$3.2M$34K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #910
Sides with the consensus67% (8 of 12 open)67% (90 of 135 open)no open consensus position55% (16 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677SilentShark
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
opposite sides · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
Ugo Blanchet $3Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K——
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141Yes $2.8K——
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
—Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K—Woking FC $690
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $2.0KHornets $156——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $91
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $75
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $18
Exact Score: CD Pamplona 1 - 1 SD Eibar?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $71—Yes $123
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $95—Over $10
Counter-Strike: maybe vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In
opposite sides · consensus maybe
maybe $44MASONIC $4——
Exact Score: CD Pamplona 3 - 1 SD Eibar?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $10—Yes $11
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $2.9K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $412—Under $316
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—Yes $8
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112—Yes $104
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $32—Yes $107
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 5 - 5 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $11—No $12
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 5 - 4 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $11—No $6