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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpIIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllllprimm
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)31% (547–1218, n=1765)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$4.1M$103K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #10PM monthly #976PM monthly #52
Sides with the consensus75% (27 of 36 open)69% (114 of 165 open)no open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%50% of 896 at avg 41¢, ROI +6%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)48% (won 19% of 433)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)12% (won 51% of 110)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)13% (won 76% of 119)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)26% (won 94% of 234)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpIIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllllprimm
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $33KJets $67—Chiefs $21K
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Lions $31KDolphins $168—Lions $14K
Bengals vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Falcons $3.5K——Bengals $36K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $33KCommanders $218——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $27KOver $390——
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $2.0K——Falcons $1.4K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7K——
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $28K——49ers $40K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
same side · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo $36KJuan Manuel Cerundolo $2.4K——
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $31KOver $2.7K——
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Giants
Giants $26KGiants $735——
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Patriots
Patriots $26KPatriots $42——
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
Broncos $21KBroncos $341——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $14KToby Samuel $5.9K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2KUnder $13K——
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Falcons $514——Falcons $7.9K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $91—Colts $5.1K