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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllll | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (11385–14473, n=25858) | 52% (7690–6979, n=14669) | 31% (546–1215, n=1761) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.8M | $4.1M | $103K | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #962 | PM monthly #111 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (33 of 55 open) | 71% (113 of 160 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 50% of 896 at avg 41¢, ROI +6% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 48% (won 19% of 433) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 12% (won 51% of 110) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 13% (won 76% of 119) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 26% (won 94% of 234) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllll | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $32K | Lakers $863 | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $20K | Clippers $7 | — | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $11K | 76ers $764 | — | — |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $8.0K | Under $376 | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.2K | Heat $298 | — | — |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $5.0K | Under $1 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $151 | Yes $2.7K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | Over $80 | — | — |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand | Yanis Ghazouani Durand $4 | Calvin Hemery $973 | — | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova same side · consensus Linda Noskova | Linda Noskova $65K | Linda Noskova $5.0K | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo same side · consensus Aidan Mayo | Stefan Kozlov $17K | Stefan Kozlov $6.5K | — | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $20K | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | — | — |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $7.2K | Over $3.8K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.5K | Over $107 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $118 | Under $297 | — | — |