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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788GetrenektHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)58% (21–15, n=36)100% (3–0, n=3)52% (583–536, n=1119)53% (513–456, n=969)
Consensus PnL$886K$41K$404K$592K
Tracked asPM monthly #18was PM monthly #987PM monthly #9PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position67% (32 of 48 open)53% (20 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%—100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 1)—2% (won 100% of 5)12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢59% (won 100% of 13)—31% (won 100% of 84)23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 7)—60% (won 100% of 161)44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 1)—7% (won 100% of 20)20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788GetrenektHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $8.2KPepperdine Waves $140K
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $12KUnder $1.5K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Vikings $7.9KPackers $2.4K
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
——Vikings $5.9KPackers $6
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.3KUnder $1.1K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Lions $32Patriots $172
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
——Chiefs $2.5KChiefs $12K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
——Patriots $6.1KPatriots $6.0K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
——Browns $2.4KBrowns $1.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KUnder $495
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $1.1KColts $3
Rockets vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $325Rockets $74