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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighNdjdnrru33
Record (consensus markets)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)48% (558–608, n=1166)no settled market
Consensus PnL$795K$501K$515K$0
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #13PM monthly #18PM monthly #783
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)48% (84 of 175 open)61% (82 of 134 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)—
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighNdjdnrru33
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $50Mavericks $38K—
USC vs. Indiana
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—USC $309Indiana $22K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $3.1KKentucky $8.8K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $155Nets $11K—
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $3.0K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $75Mavericks $1.7K—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $880—
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
opposite sides · consensus UC Riverside Highlanders
—Fresno State Bulldogs $906UC Riverside Highlanders $3—
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $167Over $259—
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Providence Friars $136Colorado Buffaloes $3—
UFC 334: Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Terrance McKinney
—Jim Miller $2Jim Miller $6.8K—
Will Haiti vs. United States end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $83—
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
—1win $101win $845—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $358Over $121—
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $32No $60—