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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| errormargin | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (199–170, n=369) | 35% (3647–6671, n=10318) | 52% (6506–6010, n=12516) | 47% (14123–15612, n=29735) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $3.0M | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #796 | PM monthly #431 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 76% (16 of 21 open) | 71% (183 of 258 open) | 68% (25 of 37 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 256 at avg 63¢, ROI +19% | — | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 56% of 9) | — | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 87% of 52) | — | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 95% of 120) | — | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 99% of 75) | — | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | errormargin | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech | — | Arthur Rinderknech $32K | Ben Shelton $8.1K | Arthur Rinderknech $23K |
| Luanda: Madhurima Sawant vs Noma Noha Akugue opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue | — | Madhurima Sawant $12 | Noma Noha Akugue $20 | Noma Noha Akugue $23K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.3K | Under $14K | Over $1.5K |
| Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch | — | Kilian Feldbausch $515 | Remy Bertola $835 | Kilian Feldbausch $1.8K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche | — | Lorenzo Musetti $349 | Lorenzo Musetti $438 | Luca Van Assche $1.3K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea | — | Sorana Cirstea $7.9K | Sorana Cirstea $6.3K | Sorana Cirstea $7.5K |
| Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier same side · consensus Sumit Nagal | — | Sumit Nagal $9.2K | Sumit Nagal $5.1K | Sumit Nagal $5.1K |
| Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig same side · consensus Matej Dodig | — | Matej Dodig $81 | Matej Dodig $663 | Matej Dodig $96 |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen | — | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $34K | Olympique de Marseille $1.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $572 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| M25 Heraklion: Robert Guna vs Robin Bertrand opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand | — | — | Robert Guna $83 | Robin Bertrand $172 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $14 | Under $181 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7 | Over $28 |
| Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel | — | — | Toby Samuel $3 | Jurij Rodionov $10 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry | — | Tomas Etcheverry $29K | — | Tomas Etcheverry $5.0K |
| Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | — | — | Anastasia Zakharova $11K | Anastasia Zakharova $13K |
| Bratislava 2: Laslo Djere vs Otto Virtanen same side · consensus Laslo Djere | — | — | Laslo Djere $5.0K | Laslo Djere $12K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.4K | Under $180 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.2K | — | Over $360 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $127 | Yes $176 |
| Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs same side · consensus GamerLegion | — | GamerLegion $253 | GamerLegion $20 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $174 | Under $42 |
| Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts same side · consensus Lumbini Lions | — | Lumbini Lions $125 | Lumbini Lions $56 | — |