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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dubdubdub2ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)100% (7–0, n=7)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$405K-$8.8M$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #99was PM monthly #87PM monthly #111PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (28 of 42 open)72% (72 of 100 open)60% (54 of 90 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 7 at avg 82¢, ROI +16%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢0%26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢0%40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 7)30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdubdubdub2ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Patriots $16K—Packers $3.1K
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
—Patriots $10K—Packers $13
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $8.8K—76ers $918
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $145—Over $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $208
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $399—Seahawks $1.0K
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
—Linda Noskova $66K—Linda Noskova $10K
Texans vs. Chargers
same side · consensus Chargers
—Texans $41K—Texans $7.1K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
—Texans $42K—Texans $1.5K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $26K—Seahawks $942
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $11K—Over $161
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Seahawks $1.1K—Seahawks $4.3K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Seahawks $65—Seahawks $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360