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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dcastro222 | Flaznorp | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (200 of 299 open) | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 61% (134 of 219 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1 at avg 43¢, ROI +57% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
52 on the same side, 41 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dcastro222 | Flaznorp | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $343 | Eastern Michigan $2.4K | Central Michigan $12K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $8.7K | Central Michigan $851 |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.2K | — | Over $462 |
| Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.7K | — | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $2.4K | UMass $1.1K |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $2.6K | — | Cavaliers $523 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $2.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Spread: Ball State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | — | UMass $1.6K | Ball State $191 |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.5K | — | No $124 |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | Yes $9 |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Over $159 |
| Spread: Toledo (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $589 | Sacramento State $794 |
| Spread: UMass (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $793 | UMass $477 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $100 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.0K | — | Over $10 |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $982 | — | Bulls $64 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $668 | — | Under $140 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $201 | Over $534 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $670 | — | Under $12 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Cavaliers $304 | — | Thunder $308 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $511 | — | Over $44 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $299 | — | Over $255 |
| Spread: Knicks (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $543 | — | Bulls $11 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $459 | — | Over $73 |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $437 | Sacramento State $75 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $280 | — | Pacers $155 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $287 | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $350 | — | Under $41 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $211 | — | Over $90 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $27 | — | Kings $253 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $191 | Over $54 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $124 | — | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $123 | — | Over $86 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Trail Blazers $22 | — | Suns $155 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Jazz $20 | — | Pelicans $154 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Nets $52 | — | Hornets $35 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado | — | Juan Carlos Prado $1.7K | — | Juan Carlos Prado $16K |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State same side · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $219 | — | Sacramento State $7.5K |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | — | Under $3.2K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $5.2K | — | 76ers $240 |
| Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.9K | — | No $498 |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.9K | — | No $594 |
| Spread: Ball State (-5.5) same side · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $3.0K | Ball State $636 |
| Will AD San Carlos win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.5K | — | Yes $882 |
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | — | No $1.6K |